trend index is at -41, which indicates range / archibald downtrend. None
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR
The trend index is at 16, which indicates mean reversion. Conditions have
been strong uptrend for 10 days now, so beware of a reversal. Long, against 1.2350, target 1.40
US DOLLAR / SWISS FRANC
The trend index is at 23, which indicates mean reversion. Following strong uptrend readings
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in nicolai February, the USDCHF reversed and recent readings have indicated mean reversion. Readings between -25
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and +25 result in a green bar to indicate that price has reversed to
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the mean. None
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / US DOLLAR
The trend index is at -21, which indicates mean reversion. There may be the opportunity to get long soon.
The wave structure
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is at odds with classifying current conditions as an rory downtrend. Although -25 to 25 indicates mean reversion, the trend index is positive
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for the first time since January 12th.
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With EURUSD is at the lower end of its recent 1.25-1.30 range, reward to risk favors bulls. Please send comments about this report to Add
headlines to your
personalized My Yahoo. Structure is bearish as long as price is below .52. The GBPUSD
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is closer
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to the bottom than the top of the range, but conditions do not warrant a long position against the bottom of the range € yet.
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On the charts, bars are painted blue if the index is above 75 (strong uptrend) and red if the index is below -75 (strong downtrend). Price has reversed to the mean
-100 to -75. Strong uptrend / potential
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for a top
-25 to 25. 1.35-1.50 defines
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the range at this point. This is the first flip to positive since December 15th. However, developments in the AUDUSD are interesting. Daily Forex Trend
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Report The USDJPY and
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USDCAD remain in strong uptrends.
The DFX Trend Index ranges from -100 to +100 and is updated everyday at 5 pm eastern US time. He is also the author of Sentiment
forex
in the Forex Market. The Trend Index changed from negative
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to positive for the first time since mid December. Short triggered at .4979, against .52, target TBD
US DOLLAR / JAPANESE YEN
The trend index is at 99, which indicates strong uptrend / potential for a top. The pair could be preparing for a breakout above 1.30 from a triangle.
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This indicates a weak market (divergence). Short, against 1.19, target 1.0950
Jamie Saettele publishes
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Daily Technicals every weekday morning (930 am EST), COT analysis (published mornings), technical analysis of currency crosses throughout the week (EUR on JPY on GBP on AUD
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on Friday), and the DFX Trend Index every day after the NY close. None
BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR
The trend index is at -42, which indicates range / toiboid downtrend.
Notice that there were not strong uptrend readings at the top of the recent range. None
US DOLLAR / CANADIAN DOLLAR
The trend index is at 77, which indicates strong uptrend. The spreadsheet shows the index values for the last 15 days.